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What is Reverse Cash and Carry Arbitrage

Understand the mechanics, conditions, and risk factors of reverse cash and carry arbitrage in futures trading.

Arbitrage is a popular trading strategy that takes advantage of price discrepancies in different markets. One specific type—reverse cash and carry arbitrage—comes into play when the futures price of an asset is lower than its spot price. This strategy lets traders lock in a risk-free gain by selling now and committing to buy later at a lower price through futures. In this article, we explore how reverse cash and carry arbitrage works, its ideal market conditions, and the risks associated with it.

Reverse Cash and Carry Arbitrage

Reverse cash and carry arbitrage is a trading strategy employed when futures prices are lower than the spot prices. It entails selling the asset short in the spot market while on the same hand, buying a long position in the futures contract.

Reverse Cash and Carry Formula

Profit = Spot Price – Futures Price – (Cost of Borrowing + Transaction Costs)

The strategy is profitable when this value is positive.

Key Conditions for Reverse Cash and Carry Arbitrage

Successful reverse cash and carry arbitrage depends on meeting several key market conditions:

  • The futures price is lower than the spot price

  • The asset is available for borrowing or short selling in the spot market

  • The trader can calculate and cover carrying costs and transaction charges

  • There is liquidity in both markets to execute positions simultaneously

Step-by-Step Example

The following example illustrates how reverse cash and carry arbitrage can generate a risk-free profit:

Let’s assume:

  • Spot Price of Stock A = ₹1,000

  • Futures Price of Stock A = ₹980

  • Borrowing and Transaction Costs = ₹10

Strategy:

  • Short sell Stock A in the spot market at ₹1,000

  • Buy futures contract of Stock A at ₹980

  • On expiry, deliver the stock bought through futures to cover the short position

Net Profit = ₹1,000 – ₹980 – ₹10 = ₹10 per share

This profit is locked in regardless of market movement after execution, assuming all costs are factored correctly.

Difference Between Cash and Carry vs Reverse Cash and Carry

Cash and carry and reverse cash and carry arbitrage differ in strategy and market outlook. Key distinctions include:

Aspect

Cash and Carry Arbitrage

Reverse Cash and Carry Arbitrage

Futures vs Spot

Futures trading at premium

Futures trading at discount

Strategy

Buy spot, sell futures

Sell spot, buy futures

Objective

Lock profit from premium

Lock profit from discount

Market Bias

Bullish sentiment

Bearish or neutral sentiment

Factors Affecting Arbitrage Profitability

Several factors influence the profitability of arbitrage strategies, including:

Factor

Impact

Transaction Costs

Reduces potential arbitrage margins

Margin Requirements

Limits capital availability

Liquidity

Affects ease of entering/exiting trades

Borrowing Constraints

Stock must be available for short selling

Taxes and STT

Can reduce net gains

Tools to Identify Arbitrage Opportunities

Investors can use various tools and platforms to spot arbitrage opportunities effectively, such as:

  • Arbitrage Calculators available on trading platforms

  • Real-time spot vs futures comparison on NSE or broker terminals

  • Excel models to calculate implied cost of carry and profitability thresholds

Risks Associated with Reverse Cash and Carry Arbitrage

Reverse cash and carry arbitrage carries certain risks that traders should be aware of, including:

Risk

Explanation

Execution Risk

Delay between trades may result in slippage

Regulatory Risk

Sudden margin changes or restrictions on short selling

Availability Risk

Inability to borrow the stock to short sell

Mispricing Risk

Market anomalies may correct before trade execution

Although considered low-risk, this strategy requires precise execution and strong understanding of margin requirements and short-selling mechanisms.

Practical Use in Indian Markets

Reverse cash and carry arbitrage is typically used by:

  • Institutional investors with access to borrowing mechanisms

  • Hedge funds and proprietary traders looking for risk-free profits

  • Traders during volatile markets when futures prices occasionally fall below spot levels

Regulatory Framework in India

Short selling and arbitrage in India are governed by specific regulations to ensure market integrity, including:

  • Short selling must comply with SEBI guidelines

  • Margin obligations must be fulfilled as per exchange norms

  • Settlement is done via T+1 for equities and expiry for futures

Conclusion

Reverse cash and carry arbitrage is a powerful strategy when executed under the right conditions. It allows traders to benefit from pricing inefficiencies between the spot and futures markets. However, it involves multiple moving parts—short selling, futures contracts, transaction costs, and strict regulatory compliance. With careful planning and execution, it can yield low-risk returns in specific market situations.

Disclaimer

This content is for informational purposes only and the same should not be construed as investment advice. Bajaj Finserv Direct Limited shall not be liable or responsible for any investment decision that you may take based on this content.

FAQs

What are the risks involved in reverse cash and carry arbitrage?

Reverse cash and carry arbitrage carries risks such as unexpected changes in interest rates, margin requirements, transaction costs, and market volatility. Any deviation from expected price convergence can reduce or eliminate potential profits from the strategy.

Reverse cash and carry arbitrage is complex and usually practised by institutional investors due to higher capital, margin needs, and advanced execution. While technically accessible, retail investors may face barriers related to cost, expertise, and regulatory requirements.

This strategy becomes feasible when futures prices fall below spot prices, often occurring during market corrections or close to contract expiry.

Reverse cash and carry is a specific strategy within broader arbitrage. Mutual funds may use a mix of arbitrage techniques as part of their scheme.

Carry arbitrage involves buying an asset in the spot market and selling futures to lock in a price difference, while reverse cash and carry arbitrage involves selling the asset in the spot market and buying futures.

Carrying costs are expenses incurred while holding an asset or security, such as financing charges, storage, insurance, or opportunity costs. These costs influence the pricing relationship between spot and futures markets in arbitrage strategies.

Reverse cash and carry arbitrage is influenced by interest rates, cost of carry, transaction costs, and market volatility. It generally becomes viable when futures prices trade significantly below spot prices, creating a potential arbitrage opportunity.

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