Avoid rash decisions by understanding why the share market is down, its impact, and how to navigate the market during this time.
Downtrends are a crucial component of the securities market. The primary reasons for share market downturns include global economic trends and national policy changes. As an investor, especially if you are new to the stock market, such downturns can be unsettling.
You need to know why these crashes happen, what happens when they do, and what they mean for you. By being informed, you can make smarter decisions about your investments and avoid acting impulsively.
Several factors can contribute to the share market going down. Understanding these factors can provide clarity during turbulent times:
Indicators such as interest rate hikes or geopolitical tensions can influence investor sentiment. For instance, rising U.S. Treasury yields do exert downward pressure on global equities, including Indian markets.
India's economic health plays a pivotal role in market performance. Factors like GDP growth rates, inflation, and fiscal policies can sway the confidence of investors. For example, lower quarterly earnings or a fiscal deficit can lead to market corrections.
A severe decline in the financial performance of many companies together can also lead to the share market going down. Disappointing earnings reports can lead to stock sell-offs, bringing down the overall share market.
Market declines may occur when there is an imbalance between selling and buying pressure. When selling pressure outweighs buying interest, stock prices tend to fall. Persistent selling across sectors can create widespread pressure, leading to broader market corrections or downturns.
Wars, pandemics, or political instability can create uncertainty, leading investors to pull back from equities. When a large number of investors back off from equities, market declines occur.
A declining market can have both psychological and financial impacts. Here are a few examples:
Portfolio Devaluation: The value of investment portfolios can decline, sometimes significantly, depending on the types of assets held and their exposure to market volatility
Investor Sentiment: Fear and uncertainty can lead to panic selling, which may worsen market declines
Delayed Investment Decisions: Potential investors may postpone entering the market, awaiting stability
Shift in Strategies: You may reallocate assets, moving from equities to safer instruments like bonds.
Credit crunch: Due to increased concerns about defaults, lending institutions may adopt a more cautious approach, making it more difficult for you to access financing
The share market going down is a natural part of the economic cycle. However, market downturns are often accompanied by increased volatility. Declines are typically measured in percentage terms and happen in two main forms:
Corrections: A market correction is typically defined as a decline of 10% or more in stock prices from their recent peak. While they can be detrimental to short-term investors, they offer growth opportunities in the long run.
Bear Markets: A bear market occurs when stock prices fall 20% or more from recent highs. They are typically more severe than corrections and may last for a longer duration.
Historical data shows that markets have always rebounded after downturns. This highlights the importance of maintaining a long-term investment perspective.
Investors react differently during market downturns. The table below summarises common behaviours and their typical characteristics.
Behaviour |
Description |
---|---|
Panic Selling |
|
Holding Positions |
|
Averaging Down |
|
Diversifying Portfolio |
|
Reducing Exposure |
|
Recognising responses may help you choose strategies to align with your goals and risk tolerance.
During a market downturn, taking a disciplined approach is crucial to protect and grow your investments. Here are a few things to consider:
Avoid Emotional Decisions: Reacting impulsively can lead to regrettable financial choices
Review Investment Goals: Ensure your investments align with your long-term objectives
Stay Informed: Rely on credible sources for market updates
Consult Professionals: Seek advice from certified financial advisors when in doubt
To maintain market integrity, Indian regulatory bodies have implemented certain mechanisms. These include the following:
These are thresholds set to halt trading temporarily during significant market declines. They prevent panic selling. There are various circuit breaker rules in India provided by the Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI). These include index-based circuit breakers and stock-specific circuit limits.
SEBI monitors trading activities to prevent malpractices and ensure transparency. It ensures corporate governance, fair trading, transparency, and investor protection.
SEBI and exchanges set risk-based margin norms to prevent excessive leverage and maintain market integrity. This is because brokers may increase margin requirements in times of extreme market volatility.
Focus on these key practices to take informed decisions about your investments during a market crash:
Official Sources: Regularly check updates from National Stock Exchange (NSE), Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE), SEBI, and the Reserve Bank of India (RBI)
Economic Indicators: Monitor indicators like inflation rates, GDP growth, and employment data
Avoid Rumours: Be cautious of unverified information, especially from social media
Continuous Learning: Educate yourself about market dynamics to make informed decisions
Market declines, though difficult, are short-term phases. By understanding the reasons for share market downturns, you can better manage your investments during these periods. Remaining updated, making informed decisions, and keeping your goals in mind enable you to survive volatility.
This content is for informational purposes only and the same should not be construed as investment advice. Bajaj Finserv Direct Limited shall not be liable or responsible for any investment decision that you may take based on this content.
https://www.moneycontrol.com/news/business/markets/sensex-crashes-over-800-pts-nifty-below-24-800-weak-asian-cues-other-key-factors-behind-market-decline-13048390.html
https://www.financialexpress.com/money/how-to-deal-with-a-stock-market-crash-10-points-3801638/
https://hdfcsky.com/sky-learn/margin-trading/pros-and-cons-of-margin-trading
https://isfm.co.in/circuit-breakers-in-the-indian-stock-market/#:~:text=Circuit%20Breaker%20Rules%20in%20India%3A%20SEBI%20Guidelines&text=Each%20stock%20on%20the%20NSE,price%20fluctuations%20in%20individual%20stocks.
https://www.livemint.com/market/facing-mid-life-crisis-make-sure-to-keep-panic-selling-at-bay-during-your-investing-journey-151693283784512.html
Global economic trends, domestic policy changes, and supply and demand imbalances can lead to declines.
Unexpected geopolitical events, economic data releases, or significant corporate announcements often trigger sharp declines.
Investment decisions should align with your financial goals and risk tolerance. Consulting a financial advisor is also recommended, as they will help you avoid panic decisions.
The duration varies based on the underlying causes, which can last from a few days to several years. Historical data shows markets generally recover over time.
Diversifying your portfolio and maintaining a long-term perspective can help mitigate risks.